15 June 2017

A Few Select Charts


The Lord is my light and my salvation—
       whom shall I fear?
The Lord is the stronghold of my life—
       of whom shall I be afraid?

Psalm 27

I will most likely update the regular charts into the weekend.  It may be on Saturday.  We have tests and a doctor appointment tomorrow.

Have a pleasant evening.






14 June 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dollar Dipsy-Doodle - A Brief Ray of Light


There are three ledgers that are kept for us in God's economy:  kindness, compassion, and love.

Janet made hawkish noises to go along with the 25 bp interest rate increase today.

I don't think they will be raising rates much more this year, if the economy is doing as badly as the data and the fundamentals seem to indicate to me.

The US dollar plunged on the rotten economic news this morning.   And then rallied hard this afternoon on the Fed's hawkish noises.  A chart of that intraday is below.

The queen was in the emergency room this weekend, and will be going in for some more tests on Friday. She had a major seizure and fell and hit her head on the refrigerator last Thursday, and that has introduced some additional concerns and problems and challenges to care.

I am catching sleep as I can during the day mostly, and watching the queen pretty much all the time otherwise.  Even if I fall asleep in the chair I am positioned to hear her if anything is going on.  She has a tendency to get up and try to do things on her own, which is not wise. On Sunday night I stopped her choking on her own regurgitation.

Right now one of our angel friends is sitting with her, while I run out to pick up some prescriptions.

Have a pleasant evening.









13 June 2017

No Updates Tonight - FOMC Decision Tomorrow


Busy day.

Waiting for doctors' calls. They are conferring.

I won't go into the details, but this has been going on since Thursday.

It's one of those cross-disciplinary things not easily revealed by testing and exams.

Life with the seriously ill is never uneventful.  God must feel the same way about His spiritually sick children—  always getting into mischief and trouble despite the Divine physician's best efforts

The FOMC will be announcing their June rate decision tomorrow.   I think it is likely that they will raise rates 25 bp.   Any announcements about their bloated balance sheet will be watched with interest.

Chris Whalen thinks that the increase tomorrow, if there is one, may we the 'last one for years.'

Have a pleasant evening.




12 June 2017

Brief Thoughts on the Fed, The Recovery™, and the Markets


"We run carelessly to the precipice, after we have put up a façade to prevent ourselves from seeing it.”

Blaise Pascal


“A true opium of the people is a belief in nothingness after death— the huge solace of thinking that for our betrayals, greed, cowardice, and even murders that we are not going to be held to account.”

Czesław Miłosz


"The cruelest lies are often told in silence."

Robert Louis Stevenson

I am taking care of the queen, mostly just keeping an eye on her and helping as needed.

She requires someone to be with her most of the time for now.  I have a resident goddaughter taken over in the evening after work.  I try to use the time to do charts when I can, but often I have to do the little chores around the house and outside.

I will provide chart updates when I do them in the evening.

Not one thing has changed in my outlook for the markets.

The Recovery™ is an artificial, almost farcical construct by and for the one percent, and no one else.  Nothing could be more obvious based on the economic results of the last twenty years starting with the Asian currency crisis and the first tech bubble of 2000.

Chris Whalen of the Institutional Risk Analyst thinks that the Fed is going to do a 'one and done' in June and then won't be raising rates again anytime soon, perhaps 'for years.'   I could not agree more.

The interest rate increase in June is going to be another gratuitous nod to the Fed's desire to get some space between the current interest rate and zero so they can cut when their latest narrow bubble bursts.

Why are we caught in this cycle of bubble and busts without sustainable recovery? Because our distorted monetary and fiscal policy continues to create paper wealth and deliver it to the top of the income pyramid by inflating financial assets, putting a hammerlock on wages, and allowing predatory monopolies to continue to expand and financialize their positions of power.

Top down stimulus is a canard like deregulating to create 'efficient markets.'   There is no 'wealth effect' that lifts all boats.

So why is the establishment in such aggressive denial after all these years of failure?   The very important people being paid not to see what they to see and manage that it is almost mind-boggling.

And the rest of our experts and politicos just follow cravenly along, too timid to take on the consensus of insiders and be exiled from access to the halls of privilege and power.

We are going to keep lurching from bubble to bust until the gears of this dirty, rotten system grind to a halt.  I do not see any realistic movement for reform to come from within the established parties.  The money and the momentum of hypocrisy and greed are just too good.

I did a 'cartoon' for Tony Sanders' latest column at Confounded Interest while I was cooling my heels in the Emergency Room on Saturday.  Tony is a smart guy and a very kind human being.  I get a lot of joy and fellowship from many people I have never met.

I finished a second cartoon later that evening when the queen was cleaned up and put to bed.  One must always make time for work and prayer, and a laugh when you can manage it.  Especially in times of elephantine vanity and greed.

'I am frightened, by the strength of evil, and the weakness of men.

Do you love the Lord, as He loves You? Then you must fear no more.'


Have a pleasant evening.




09 June 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Eventide


"Peace I leave you; my peace I give to you, not as the world gives do I give it to you; so do not let your heart be troubled, do not let it be afraid."

John 14:27

Since today was interesting I wanted to at least provide charts updated with the last two days action.

The US dollar caught some strength today off of British pound weakness as a consequence of the election results and a 'hung Parliament.'

The crookedness is glaringly apparent now for any that would look at it with eyes and ears open.

When greed is a culture's moral benchmark, and its leaders are like childish louts, what else would one expect.

I hope to be back on Monday. Things seem to have stabilized here, which is welcome. I sat with the queen all day yesterday and today.   She is wobbly and has fallen.  One of the goddaughters arrived after work to give me a break and take over the watch.  Doctors visits next week to find what has gone amiss.

Have a pleasant weekend.